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One Piece Ending Predictions
The next table lists the predictions of the end of One Piece. It includes information about the date on which they were stated, what chapter the series was in, and how many days had passed since the release of One Piece.
| # | Prediction | Stated | Chapters passed | Days passed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction 1 | Oda estimates that it will last 5 years | 1997-07-19 | 0 | 0 |
| Prediction 2 | Oda says timeskip marks 50% of the series | 2010-08-30 | 597 | 4,790 |
| Prediction 3 | Oda says is 60% complete | 2012-12-15 | 691 | 5,628 |
| Prediction 4 | Editor Suguru Sugita says is 70% complete | 2015-07-17 | 793 | 6,572 |
| Prediction 5 | Oda says is 65% complete | 2016-07-20 | 832 | 6,941 |
| Prediction 6 | Oda says is 80% complete | 2018-07-21 | 912 | 7,672 |
One Piece Ending Based on Chapter
The next table lists information in which chapter and date One Piece will end, assuming that the predictions was based on chapters. “Real Average” includes all values, and “Tuned Average” excludes the two most distant predictions (by under and over).
| # | Chapters to finish | Days to finish | End chapter (chapter based) | End date (chapter based) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction 1 | 238 | 1,810 | 238 | 2002-07-02 |
| Prediction 2 | 597 | 5,188 | 1,194 | 2024-11-12 |
| Prediction 3 | 461 | 4,003 | 1,152 | 2023-12-01 |
| Prediction 4 | 340 | 3,181 | 1,133 | 2024-03-31 |
| Prediction 5 | 448 | 4,193 | 1,280 | 2028-01-11 |
| Prediction 6 | 228 | 2,134 | 1,140 | 2024-05-23 |
| Real average | 1,023 | 2021-04-29 | ||
| Tuned average | 1,155 | 2024-05-10 |
One Piece Ending Based on Date
The next table lists information in which chapter and date One Piece will end, assuming that the predictions was based on date. “Real Average” includes all values, and “Tuned Average” excludes the two most distant predictions (by under and over).
| # | Chapters to finish | Days to finish | End chapter (date based) | End date (date based) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction 1 | 240 | 1,826 | 240 | 2002-07-19 |
| Prediction 2 | 551 | 4,790 | 1,148 | 2023-10-11 |
| Prediction 3 | 432 | 3,752 | 1,123 | 2023-03-25 |
| Prediction 4 | 301 | 2,817 | 1,094 | 2023-04-02 |
| Prediction 5 | 399 | 3,737 | 1,231 | 2026-10-13 |
| Prediction 6 | 205 | 1,918 | 1,117 | 2023-10-21 |
| Real average | 992 | 2020-07-25 | ||
| Tuned average | 1,120 | 2023-07-07 |
One Piece Ending Average
The next table lists information in which chapter and date One Piece will end, calculated by averaging the estimations by date and chapters. “Real Average” includes all values, and “Tuned Average” excludes the two most distant predictions (by under and over).
| # | End chapter (average) | End date (average) |
|---|---|---|
| Prediction 1 | 239 | 2002-07-10 |
| Prediction 2 | 1,171 | 2024-04-27 |
| Prediction 3 | 1,137 | 2023-07-28 |
| Prediction 4 | 1,113 | 2023-10-01 |
| Prediction 5 | 1,256 | 2027-05-29 |
| Prediction 6 | 1,128 | 2024-02-05 |
| Real average | 1,007 | 2020-12-11 |
| Tuned average | 1,138 | 2023-12-08 |
Conclusion
Taking into account the data presented by the observed predictions, and excluding the two most distant predictions, it is estimated that One Piece will end on Monday, December 11, 2023 at chapter 1,138.
Yup pretty much my thoughts.
These people who predict 1240+ chapters or 2024+ as the ending year are very delusional.
One Piece is ending soon, people.
After the Wano climax which I place somewhere between chapter 995 and 1000, the rest is all a rushed ending.
Yonkos fall one after another, whatever lore can be sprinkled along the way is just a side effect, Elbaf and Emerald City are one and the same (and very brief), WG ending and final war and fishman ascent and RA battle etc etc etc are all fused into one, Raftel and “final island in the Log Pose” again very rushed, this will all end very quickly in substantially less than 200 chapters from 963 (current) or less than 5 years from 2019 (current).
I guess a lot of people are just not ready to let OP go even if there are 200+ chapter to prepare. For myself, I would bet on the numbers. I also had predicted around ch. 1,100 for the end based upon Oda’s last two prediction, and the time skip. The fact that Oda had quickened the pace of arcs and expressed the desire for the end gives weight to the numbers. I certainly intend to enjoy the ride to the end.
It is possible, it really seems that Oda is increasingly willing to show us the climax that has been planned over the years. We’ll all feel a huge void when it happens!
I don’t think it will end at 2023, that’s too soon, however I think it will end somewhere in the 20’s decade, my bets are anything later than 2025
im predicting that the 80% done is the arcs being 80% done. not chapters. if its arcs and not chapters, then we can potentially see multiple long arcs like dressrosa, whole cake, and wano. i think wano arc is the half way point of the post time skip or new world saga. we can expect to see much more like elbaf, reverie, void century, raftel, final war, the world government, etc. we also need to know a lot more of many characters such as gol d roger, shanks, weevil, etc.
At the earliest 2027. To complete the 30 years / 3 decades.
Highly unlikely seeing as we still have the rest of the Wano arc, the continuation of the Reverie arc, the Elbaf arc, the Void Century Backstory arc, the Raftel arc, the Final War arc, and the Revolutionaries vs The World Government arc at the bare minimum. This also isn’t including anything else Oda wants to add. All that will take MUCH more than ~200 more chapter
I’m with you on this one, my job here was just counting numbers! Honestly speaking, maybe doubling that estimate would be more realistic.
This is useful. Thank you.